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ارزیابی راهبردی
نشانه ها حکایت از آن دارد که تیم مذاکره کننده هسته ای شتابان درحال حرکت به سمت اعلام یک توافق هسته ای است هیچ یک از خطوط قرمز اعلام شده از سوی رهبر معظم انقلاب اسلامی به طور رضایت بخش در آن مراعات نشده است.
گزارش ویژه
آمانو با طرح جدیدی به ایران آمده که تلاش شده مسئله دسترسی به افراد و مکان های نظامی در ایران به نوعی در آن تغییر شکل داده یا به آینده موکول شود.
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کار نگارش متن برجام در مرحله کارشناسی تقریبا پایان یافته و در دو روز آینده معاونین وزرای خارجه و همچنین وزرا، تغییرات نهایی را روی آن اعمال خواهند کرد.
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اکنون آنچه تعیین کننده است این است که کدام طرف حقیقتا نگران شکست مذاکرات است و خسارت آن را برای خود بیشتر می داند. این امر خود را در میزان مقاومتی نشان خواهد داد که طرف ها بر سر خطوط قرمز خویش به خرج خواهند داد.
ارزیابی راهبردی
پذیرش محدودیت هایی چنین بلند مدت و سفت و سخت بر برنامه هسته ای ایران تنها زمانی منطقی است که نشانه هایی از تغییر راهبرد به شدت امریکا علیه ایران وجود داشته باشد.
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مذاکرات تنها در یک صورت به نحو بلند مدت تمدید خواهد شد و آن هم وقتی است که به طور قطعی شکست بخورد.
ارزیابی راهبردی
منابع امریکایی امروز از یک مقام بلند پایه این کشور نقل کردند محتمل ترین سناریو در انتهای این دور از مذاکرات این است که توافق نهایی با جزئیات آن رونمایی شود ولی امضا نشود.
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رهبر معظم انقلاب اسلامی روز 2 تیر 1394 تبیین جدیدی از خطوط قرمز مدنظرخویش در مذاکرات هسته ای بیان فرمودند.
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در مجموع، می توان گفت قانون فعلی الزامات ضروری لازم برای جلوگیری از یک توافق بد را فراهم می کند.