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اطلاعات دریافتی «ایران هسته ای» حکایت از آن دارد که ایران و 1+5 در آستانه اعلام توافق نهایی هسته ای هستند.
ارزیابی راهبردی
به احتمال بسیار زیاد آژانس از دسترسی ها استفاده خواهد کرد تا حفره های اطلاعاتی خود را پر کرده و به اتهام خویش علیه ایران مبنی بر اینکه زمانی در حال مطالعه برای ساخت سلاح هسته ای بوده سر و شکل درستی بدهد.
ارزیابی راهبردی
هر توافقی که از خطوط قرمز نظام فاصله قابل توجه داشته باشد هیچ شانسی برای اجرا نخواهد داشت چرا که نظام قصد ندارد صرفا برای خوشایند امریکایی ها ارزش ها، امنیت و معیشت مردم خویش را در معرض مخاطره قرار بدهد.
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نشانه ها حکایت از آن دارد که تیم مذاکره کننده هسته ای شتابان درحال حرکت به سمت اعلام یک توافق هسته ای است هیچ یک از خطوط قرمز اعلام شده از سوی رهبر معظم انقلاب اسلامی به طور رضایت بخش در آن مراعات نشده است.
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آمانو با طرح جدیدی به ایران آمده که تلاش شده مسئله دسترسی به افراد و مکان های نظامی در ایران به نوعی در آن تغییر شکل داده یا به آینده موکول شود.
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کار نگارش متن برجام در مرحله کارشناسی تقریبا پایان یافته و در دو روز آینده معاونین وزرای خارجه و همچنین وزرا، تغییرات نهایی را روی آن اعمال خواهند کرد.
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اکنون آنچه تعیین کننده است این است که کدام طرف حقیقتا نگران شکست مذاکرات است و خسارت آن را برای خود بیشتر می داند. این امر خود را در میزان مقاومتی نشان خواهد داد که طرف ها بر سر خطوط قرمز خویش به خرج خواهند داد.
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پذیرش محدودیت هایی چنین بلند مدت و سفت و سخت بر برنامه هسته ای ایران تنها زمانی منطقی است که نشانه هایی از تغییر راهبرد به شدت امریکا علیه ایران وجود داشته باشد.
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مذاکرات تنها در یک صورت به نحو بلند مدت تمدید خواهد شد و آن هم وقتی است که به طور قطعی شکست بخورد.